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Venture Capital: Startup Valuation - Venture Capital (VC) Method




Startups Valuation Using The Venture Capital Method | Harvard Business School, https://youtu.be/rZHlTEknXHM

How To Build A Startup Valuation Model From Scratch ? - Venture Capital Method, https://youtu.be/HaqNcNb0lZc


Scenario 1:


  • Founders want to exit the business in 5 years

  • Founders expect to generate $2.5M in sales in Year 5

  • Comparable listed companies are valued at 20x Price-Earning

  • Expected annual profit (net income) is $357K in Year 5

  • Incorporated with 100K shares (pre)


Company value at exit: Net income at exit date x PE multiple

  • $357K x 20x= $7.5M


  • Investment amount: $500K

  • Investment year: 0

  • Required return: 50%


Future value: Investment amount x (1 + Required return)^ (Exit term - Investment year)

  • $500K x (1+0.5)^(5-0) = 3,796,875


Value of firm: Annual Earnings (Projected NI) x PE (multiple) = Company value at exit

(1 + Required Return) ^Term

  • Or Post-Money Valuation

  • (357K x 20)/(1+0.5)^5 = 987,654

  • 7.5M/(1+0.5)^5 = 987,654


Required ownership/Equity stake: Future value/ Company value at exit

  • 3,796,875/7.5M = 50.63%

  • Initial investment/ Value of firm

  • = 500K / 987,654


Outstanding Shares (i.e. post-money): Outstanding shares (pre) / (1 - Required ownership)

  • 100K/ (1- 50.63%) = 202,532


Investor/VC owns # shares: Outstanding Shares (i.e. post-money) - Outstanding Shares (i.e. pre-money)

  • 202,532 - 100K = 102,532


Share price: Post-Money Valuation/ Outstanding Shares (i.e. post-money)

  • 987,654/ 202,532 = $4.88

  • Initial investment/ VC Owns # Shares

  • = 500K/ 102,532


Pre-Money Valuation: Post-Money Valuation - Investment amount

  • 987,654 - 500K = 487,654

  • Outstanding shares (pre) * Share price

  • = 100K*4.88




Other Valuation Methods for Startups


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